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Giáo Trình Quản Trị Dự Án Đầu Tư Pdf

Giáo Trình Quản Trị Dự Án Đầu Tư Pdf

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$2(!(2;4222;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;@@@@@;@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@ $2(!(2;4222;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;@@@@@;@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@ÿÝ ÿÁ " ÿÄr !M !1AQq±"ar�‘Á$24Rbs’¡Ñ#35BCS%áDTc“¢²Òð &'()*6789:EFGHIJUVWXYZd‚ƒÂñefghijtuvwxyz„…†‡ˆ‰Š”•–—˜™š£¤¥¦§¨©ª³´µ¶·¸¹ºÃÄÅÆÇÈÉÊÓÔÕÖ×ØÙÚâãäåæçèéêòóôõö÷øùú b !1Aq3Q"#2Ra�‘¡±Á4‚Ñ5BCrð $%&'()*6789:DEFGHIJSTUVWXYZbcdefghijstuvwxyzƒ„…†‡ˆ‰Š’“”•–—˜™š¢£¤¥¦§¨©ª²³´µ¶·¸¹ºÂÃÄÅÆÇÈÉÊÒáÓÔÕÖ×ØÙÚâãäåæçèéêñòóôõö÷øùú } !1q3AQ"24ar�¡±ÁR‘$%5BSÑáð #&'()*6789:CDEFGHIJTUVWXYZbcdefghijstuvwxyz‚ƒ„…†‡ˆ‰Š’“”•–—˜™š¢£¤¥¦§¨©ª²³´µ¶·¸¹ºÂÃÄÅÆÇÈÉÊÒÓÔÕÖ×ØÙÚâãäåæçèéêñòóôõö÷øùúÿÚ " ? è` y½Ï` ÷ 0 � ® ° Ð p ˆv˜ ¸@2Yš À € k X`ÄPÆ —�€ ÚÀ C € € H d� JÀ $ À m ¡’W I ö À ` Ö šÎ Äƈ @!€ ê è € @ =€b œ Ä&³ À5 â &¦ÂÄ·n&¬+�H{Á®iºbhY³;€€b"Õ† ˜ IŒ` >  C0 à 0 ÙÀ M ˜ p†!Ø ` P À <à1C€ à 3@ 0 lÀ + ¬ € Q@ ° b°`Ø ` ÀCÆ@ 8 ` € À =À b@1Ŭ b^À @!€ À 8 € €é Ø €ž  1 è\ ! 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Phương pháp phân tích độ nhạy

Phương pháp này được dùng để đánh giá được độ an toàn và kiểm tra tính vững chắc của các kết quả tính toán trước sự biến đổi của các yếu tố khách quan có thể xảy ra trong quá trình thực hiện dự án, cần phải tiến hành phân tích độ nhạy của dự án.

Phân tích độ nhạy của dự án là xem xét sự thay đổi các chỉ tiêu hiệu quả tài chính khi các yếu tố có liên quan đến chỉ tiêu đó thay đổi. Phân tích độ nhạy nhằm xem xét mức độ nhạy cảm của dự án đối với sự biến động của các yếu tố liên quan.

Phân tích độ nhạy giúp chủ đầu tư biết được dự án nhạy cảm với những yếu tố nào, hay nói cách khác, yếu tố nào gây lên sự thay đổi nhiều nhất của chỉ tiêu hiệu quả để từ đó có biện pháp quản lý chúng trong quá trình thực hiện dự án.

Các phương pháp phân tích độ nhạy:

Phương pháp dự báo xuất phát từ đặc điểm của hoạt động đầu tư phát triển là hoạt động mang tính chất lâu dài từ giai đoạn chuẩn bị đến khi đưa vào vận hành kết quả đầu tư, do đó cần phải tiến hành dự báo.

Phương pháp dự báo sử dụng các số liệu điều tra thống kê & vận dụng phương pháp dự báo thích hợp để thẩm định, kiểm tra cung cầu về sản phẩm của dự án, thiết bị, nguyên vật liệu và các đầu vào khác… ảnh hưởng trực tiếp đến tính khả thi của dự án.

Phương pháp dự báo thích hợp khi thẩm định khía cạnh thị trường, thẩm định công nghệ, thẩm định tài chính của dự án.

Phương pháp xác định dự án đầu tư

Xác định dự án đầu tư thường được tiến hành thông qua 5 phương pháp chính bao gồm: Phương pháp thẩm định trình tự; Phương pháp so sánh, đối chiếu các chỉ tiêu; Phương pháp phân tích độ nhạy; Phương pháp dự báo; Phương pháp triệt tiêu rủi ro. Mỗi phương pháp thể hiện một cách thức tiếp cận riêng, hàm chứa phương thức vận dụng riêng.

Phương pháp xác định trình tự

Xác định dự án theo trình tự được tiến hành theo một trình tự từ tổng quát đến chi tiết, kết luận trước làm tiền đề cho kết luận sau.

– Xác định tổng quát: Là việc xem xét một cách khái quát các nội dung cần xác định của dự án, qua đó đánh giá một cách chung nhất tính đầy đủ, phù hợp & hợp lý của dự án. Xác định tổng quát cho phép hình dung khái quát về dự án, các vấn đề chủ yếu của dự án, mục tiêu, các giải pháp chủ yếu, những lợi ích cơ bản. Từ đó hình dung ra quy mô, tầm cỡ của dự án, dự án liên quan đến đơn vị nào, bộ phận nào, ngành nào, bộ phận nào là chính… Thẩm định tổng quát là cơ sở, căn cứ để tiến hành các bước thẩm định tiếp theo.

– Xác định chi tiết: Được tiến hành sau thẩm định tổng quát. Việc thẩm định này được tiến hành tỉ mỉ, chi tiết cho từng nội dung cụ thể của dự án, từ việc thẩm định các điều kiện pháp lý đến việc thẩm định thị trường, kỹ thuật, tổ chức quản lý, tài chính, kinh tế xã hội của dự án. Yêu cầu của việc thẩm định chi tiết là theo từng nội dung đầu tư bắt buộc phải có ý kiến nhận xét, kết luận, đồng ý, không đồng ý, nêu rõ những gì cần phải bổ sung, sửa đổi. Tuy nhiên, mức độ tập trung khác nhau đối với từng nội dung tùy thuộc vào đặc điểm của dự án & tình hình thực tế khi tiến hành thẩm định.

Thẩm định các điều kiện pháp lý, thẩm định thị trường, thẩm định kỹ thuật, thẩm định tổ chức quản lý, thẩm định tài chính, thẩm định kinh tế xã hội của dự án.